Trish Chudleigh49 noted after five cases of CPC in
normal fetuses that they are “probably always bilateral”, though only two
patients in her series were “obviously bilateral”. She noted that “reverberation within the fetal skull means that
they are always visualised with greater ease in the distal [i.e. furthest from
the transducer] cerebral hemisphere.”
Ostlere146 noted this tendency; 75% of solitary cysts in his
series were in the lower hemisphere.
Several authors, when discussing bilaterality felt that in a significant
number of their cases no comment could be made as the upper hemisphere was not
well seen. Chinn46, for
example, could make no comment in 19 of his 38 cases. DeRoo62 was unable to show the upper hemisphere in
6/12 fetuses. As with cyst incidence,
there may be some relation between the ability to see the upper hemisphere and
the quality of the ultrasound machine being used, as well as the size of the
patient (fat patients produce more reverberation artefact and the beam is
defocused), and the skill of the sonographer or sonologist performing the scan.
This remains one of the most popular criteria, and many
sonographers and sonologists I have spoken to seem to consider it
significant. Despite Chudleigh’s
initial thought that when present, cysts were invariably bilateral, many researchers
have had difficulty finding cysts in the upper hemisphere, with the result that
only 54% have been reported as
bilateral cysts. There is considerable
discrepancy of the rates of bilaterality amongst reports however, and the
extremes are mentioned as follows:
|
Author (Brand of Equipment) |
Incidence of Bilaterality |
|
Thorpe-Beeston185
(?Aloka) |
82/83 (98%) |
|
Achiron2
(Elscint) |
27/30 (90%) |
|
Chinn46
(Acuson) |
8/38 (21%)
Uncertain in 19 |
|
Platt152
(Acuson) |
13/71 (18%) |
|
Geelong
Hospital (Aloka, ATL, Diasonics) |
28/50 (56%) |
|
All Others: |
~ 50% |
Table 10: Incidence of bilaterality is quite varied.
Of these unilateral cysts in normal fetuses, the majority have
been in the lower hemisphere. As
mentioned, several investigators were unable to review the upper hemisphere
adequately. In the Geelong Hospital
series, 15/22 or 67% of unilateral cysts were in the lower hemisphere. With our protocol of defining a cyst in two
planes whenever possible, many unsuspected extra cysts were noted in the upper
hemisphere, particularly when coronal imaging was employed. The usual artefacts are slightly less in
this plane of section, and this is also true when an infero-superior angle of
approach is achieved through the line of the lambdoid suture. Similarly, coronal imaging from the superior
aspect through the anterior fontanelle or from behind through the posterior
fontanelle and the skull sutures provides excellent demonstration of the
lateral ventricles in many instances.
The implication of these scanning techniques is that the
upper hemisphere has not been assessed as well as the lower hemisphere: there
should be a 50% split of upper and lower cysts if they were truly unilateral.
It is therefore possible that many of the cysts that are called unilateral
are in fact bilateral. It has been clearly demonstrated that certainly not
all CPC are bilateral.
Of all CPC reported, 1,229 have mention made of this criterion.
In normal fetuses, 551 were bilateral.
In aneuploid fetuses, 60 were bilateral and 40 were unilateral.
Analysis of these figures shows that bilaterality has a sensitivity
of 60% and a specificity of 51.2% (equivalent to flipping a coin). This means that nearly half of patients with
aneuploidy would be missed, and half of the patients with normal fetuses would
show a false positive result.
The authors in whose articles it was possible to determine
the bilaterality of normal and aneuploid fetuses are shown below.
Author |
No.
Cysts |
Bilateral
Euploid |
No.
Aneuploid (T18) |
Bilateral
Aneuploid (T18) |
|
Nicolaides131 |
4 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
Bundy33 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
Furness81 |
30 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
Chitkara47 |
41 |
20 |
11 |
1 |
|
Clark50 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
DeRoo62 |
17 |
4 |
|
|
|
Benacerraf14 |
38 |
16 |
|
|
|
Gabrielli83 |
82 |
44 |
4 |
1 |
|
Chan45 |
13 |
4 |
|
|
|
Khouzam111 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
Camurri40 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Ostlere146 |
100 |
52 |
3 |
3 |
|
Thorpe-Beeston185 |
83 |
62 |
20 |
19 |
|
Chinn46 |
38 |
8 |
1 |
|
|
Twining189 |
19 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
Platt152 |
71 |
13 |
4 |
|
|
Achiron2 |
30 |
|
5 |
4 |
|
Rotmensch163 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
Perpignano150 |
87 |
|
6 |
4 |
|
Nadel123 |
234 |
125 |
12 |
6 |
|
Porto154 |
63 |
28 |
6 |
4 |
|
Kennedy110 |
22 |
9 |
3 |
2 |
|
Burrows34 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
Oettinger |
14 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
Nava |
211 |
85 |
8 |
5 |
|
Gross91 |
80 |
45 |
2 |
|
|
Kupfermine116 |
102 |
25 |
7 |
1 |
|
Walkinshaw193 |
152 |
|
4 |
2 |
|
Total (T18) |
1,229 |
551 |
100 (73) |
60 (52) |
Table
11: Authors who describe CPC
according to bilaterality.
Fig 13: Bilaterality in T18 and Normal fetuses.
|
|
T18 |
Normal |
PPV |
|
Bilateral |
52 |
551 |
8.6% |
|
Unilateral |
21 |
578 |
Likelihood ratio |
|
Total |
73 |
1229 |
0.0146 (1.46%) |
|
Sensitivity |
71.2% |
51.2% |
Specificity |
|
False Negative Rate |
28.8% |
48.8% |
False Positive Rate |
Table 12: Bilaterality:
2 x 2 table.
The sensitivity and specificity are very low with this criterion,
and it is not surprising that, using the chi-squared test, the difference in
bilaterality shows only mild statistical significance (p = 0.032) between euploid and aneuploid fetuses. The odds ratio is calculated to be
2.59. The difference in odds is
calculated at 0.2 (CI -0.09 to
0.31). Because of the negative odds
difference at the 5% confidence interval (an impossibility), there is a
possibility, therefore, that these results are all due to chance.
Again using Bayes theorem to include the prevalence of
trisomy 18, the equation becomes:
|
Odds (Risk) of T18 in bilateral cysts = 0.0433% x 1.46% = 0.065% or 1 in 1542. |
From this calculation it can be seen that despite the mild statistical
significance of bilaterality, the risk for T18 in bilateral cysts is only
slightly greater than the risk for T18 alone.
Further breakdown of this risk by maternal age is provided in the
Appendix.
Closely allied with the criterion of bilaterality is the number
of cysts seen. Only four aneuploid
fetuses have been categorically noted to have solitary cysts but this figure
cannot be relied on as many cysts described as unilateral cysts are probably, but
not necessarily, solitary, and there may be missed cysts in the upper
hemisphere. In most reports cysts are
not described in terms of number.
Furness81 referred to a case where cysts “completely replaced
the choroid plexus bilaterally”, in a case of T18, the accompanying images of
which showed multiple cysts of various sizes.
Confusion easily clouds the discussion. While unilateral
cysts also can be multiple, solitary or single, one wonders how bilateral cysts
may be solitary or single. They can all
be isolated. Consistent definitions are
not adhered to: Achiron refers to
“bilateral solitary” cysts. In my
reading the following terms have been used and the meaning that usually applies
from the context is as given (Table 13):
|
unilateral
cysts: |
single or multiple cysts seen on one side only |
|
bilateral
cysts: |
single or multiple cysts on both sides |
|
multiple cysts: |
more than one cyst (on one side) |
|
solitary
cyst: |
1. one cyst 2. a single cyst on one side in cases of bilateral cysts 3. cyst which is
the only detected anomaly |
|
single cyst: |
one cyst |
|
isolated cysts: |
cysts which are the only detected anomaly |
Table 13: Types
of numericity of cysts.
In order to avoid confusion, we feel
that discussion over the number of cysts should be avoided. The low numbers of aneuploid fetuses with a
single cyst and the uncertainty of definition make it impossible to analyze
this criterion meaningfully. Along with
bilaterality it suffers from the problem of upper hemisphere visualization and
therefore the numbers that are given are undoubtedly wrong.
The use of bilaterality as a criterion suffers for the
following reasons:
·
technique and equipment greatly affect visualization of
upper hemisphere therefore its true incidence cannot be established.
·
low sensitivity and poor specificity.
·
difference between normal and aneuploid fetuses shows
only weak statistically significant, and may be due to chance.
·
adjustment of risk by Bayes Theorem shows the risk with bilateral cysts is
very similar to the initial risk of T18, and is not sufficient to indicate amniocentesis in the median
maternal age range.
The ability to discriminate aneuploidy on this criterion is
obviously severely limited by technical problems of demonstrating the upper
lateral ventricle, and the statistics analysis shows that it is not a
practically applicable criterion in any given case.